Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.6%). Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 55.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 52.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Norris
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Norris
Suzuki
Last 6: Norris 3-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Norris
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Norris
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
51.3% (1,096)
+0.9%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
59.9% (157)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
56.9% (58)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Norris
Suzuki
Home
50.7% (351)
54.2% (638)
Away
54.0% (278)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Norris
Suzuki
P1
55.6%
51.5%
P2
49.3%
53.3%
P3
52.1%
52.4%
OT
42.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |