Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 74.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 76.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Norris
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Suzuki
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Norris
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
0
Norris
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
52.4% (981)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
50.7% (304)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
36.4% (33)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Norris
Suzuki
Home
53.6% (373)
53.2% (645)
Away
54.1% (394)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Norris
Suzuki
P1
61.8%
48.9%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
49.8%
54.9%
OT
27.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |