Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Stastny 55.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 66.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 61.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Norris
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Norris
Stastny
Last 6: Norris 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Norris
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
59.2% (370)
-8.0%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
40.9% (44)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
51.7% (58)
-12.9%
On power play, Norris has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Norris
Stastny
Home
55.6% (487)
57.7% (215)
Away
47.0% (549)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Norris
Stastny
P1
54.8%
57.7%
P2
51.3%
54.2%
P3
48.0%
57.7%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |