Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.9% vs 57.6%). Norris wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Stastny 56.3% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 74.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 71.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 57.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Norris
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
57.5% (412)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (65)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
44.4% (9)
+3.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Norris shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Norris
Stastny
Home
62.2% (37)
58.3% (276)
Away
50.0% (20)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Norris
Stastny
P1
64.3%
63.7%
P2
59.1%
57.3%
P3
52.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
57.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%