Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Zacha 46.5% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 56.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 88.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 76.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Norris
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Norris
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
45.3% (247)
+18.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
58.1% (31)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
22.2% (18)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Norris shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Norris
Zacha
Home
62.2% (37)
39.7% (131)
Away
50.0% (20)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Norris
Zacha
P1
64.3%
42.9%
P2
59.1%
46.4%
P3
52.4%
42.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
57.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |