Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Dubois 49.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.7%
Defensive zone
Dubois 51.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 53.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Norris
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Norris
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Norris
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
46.2% (225)
+3.8%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
66.7% (27)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
75.0% (8)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Norris shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Norris
Dubois
Home
47.2% (193)
46.6% (163)
Away
51.6% (246)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Norris
Dubois
P1
53.8%
45.0%
P2
48.2%
52.3%
P3
47.9%
50.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Josh Norris |