Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Dubois 49.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 56.7%
Defensive zone
Dubois 52.3%
Neutral zone
Dubois 52.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Norris
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Norris
Dubois
Last 10: Norris 6-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
Norris
Dubois
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Norris
Dubois
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
49.8% (1,064)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
46.3% (67)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
53.3% (30)
-0.2%
On power play, Norris has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Norris
Dubois
Home
53.6% (373)
48.3% (582)
Away
54.1% (394)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Norris
Dubois
P1
61.8%
52.0%
P2
51.7%
49.9%
P3
49.8%
46.9%
OT
27.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.8%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |