Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Steel 50.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 56.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 52.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Norris
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Norris
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Norris
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
52.5% (200)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
71.4% (7)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
40.0% (45)
+2.9%
On power play, Steel has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Norris shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Norris
Steel
Home
47.2% (193)
49.5% (109)
Away
51.6% (246)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Norris
Steel
P1
53.8%
49.5%
P2
48.2%
47.5%
P3
47.9%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |