Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Steel 50.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 54.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Norris
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Norris
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Norris
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
50.6% (2,876)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
62.6% (179)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
37.4% (254)
+8.0%
On power play, Steel has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Norris shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Norris
Steel
Home
53.1% (1,856)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Norris
Steel
P1
55.6%
51.9%
P2
51.4%
49.5%
P3
50.1%
49.6%
OT
40.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |