Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.4% vs Steel 50.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Norris
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Norris
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Norris
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (203)
51.3% (195)
-1.1%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
71.4% (7)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
43.2% (37)
-0.3%
On power play, Steel has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Norris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Norris shoots left. Steel is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Norris
Steel
Home
44.3% (115)
50.0% (100)
Away
53.4% (131)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Norris
Steel
P1
52.1%
49.4%
P2
50.0%
48.1%
P3
45.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
49.2%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |