Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Monahan 52.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 52.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Norris
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Monahan
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Norris
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
51.5% (641)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
62.8% (129)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
33.3% (9)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Norris
Monahan
Home
55.6% (487)
53.9% (362)
Away
47.0% (549)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Norris
Monahan
P1
54.8%
48.0%
P2
51.3%
57.0%
P3
48.0%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |