Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.3%). Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Monahan 51.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Norris
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
14
(33 meetings)
19
14
Norris
Monahan
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
10
Norris
Monahan
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
7
1
Norris
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
6
3
Norris
Monahan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
51.1% (11,356)
+1.4%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
53.7% (2,580)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
46.0% (766)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Norris shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Norris
Monahan
Home
53.1% (1,856)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Norris
Monahan
P1
55.6%
50.9%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
50.1%
51.0%
OT
40.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Josh Norris |