Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 64.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Norris
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
55.3% (628)
+8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
55.1% (216)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
40.2% (87)
+7.2%
On even strength, Norris has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Norris is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Norris shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Norris
Stamkos
Home
62.2% (37)
55.5% (499)
Away
50.0% (20)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Norris
Stamkos
P1
64.3%
50.7%
P2
59.1%
53.8%
P3
52.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%