Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 55.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 66.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 58.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Norris
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Norris
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Norris
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
55.9% (499)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
56.3% (126)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
58.3% (12)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Norris
Stamkos
Home
50.7% (351)
55.3% (349)
Away
54.0% (278)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Norris
Stamkos
P1
55.6%
57.0%
P2
49.3%
59.2%
P3
52.1%
51.5%
OT
42.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |