Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Boyd 43.9% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 69.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 83.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 85.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Norris
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Norris
Boyd
Last 5: Norris 4-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Norris
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
43.4% (893)
+20.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
51.5% (136)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
34.6% (127)
+12.8%
On even strength, Norris has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Norris is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Norris shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Norris
Boyd
Home
62.2% (37)
46.0% (570)
Away
50.0% (20)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Norris
Boyd
P1
64.3%
38.9%
P2
59.1%
50.4%
P3
52.4%
41.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |