Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Boyd 44.1% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 94.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 86.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 94.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Norris
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
4
(18 meetings)
14
4
Norris
Boyd
Last 10: Norris 9-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
5
1
Norris
Boyd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
1
Norris
Boyd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
6
2
Norris
Boyd
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
44.4% (2,186)
+8.1%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
46.5% (256)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
35.6% (208)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Norris shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Norris
Boyd
Home
53.1% (1,856)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Norris
Boyd
P1
55.6%
41.7%
P2
51.4%
46.2%
P3
50.1%
44.0%
OT
40.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Josh Norris |