Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Johnson 53.6% (-9.7%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 66.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Norris
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
61.9% (42)
-10.7%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
55.6% (9)
+3.4%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Norris shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Norris
Johnson
Home
55.6% (487)
52.0% (25)
Away
47.0% (549)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Norris
Johnson
P1
54.8%
72.0%
P2
51.3%
66.7%
P3
48.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%