Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Johnson 45.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 74.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 76.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 81.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Norris
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Norris
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
44.6% (285)
+7.6%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
46.7% (60)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
16.7% (6)
+30.0%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Norris
Johnson
Home
50.7% (351)
50.8% (179)
Away
54.0% (278)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Norris
Johnson
P1
55.6%
41.3%
P2
49.3%
41.8%
P3
52.1%
49.6%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Josh Norris |