Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lammikko wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 44.4% vs Duchene 54.9% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lammikko 77.4%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 88.7%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 77.9%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Lammikko
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lammikko
Duchene
Last 5: Lammikko 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Lammikko
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Lammikko
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (275)
55.4% (1,013)
-12.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.3% (192)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (52)
41.2% (17)
-2.7%
On even strength, Duchene has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lammikko is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Lammikko shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Lammikko
Duchene
Home
44.4% (160)
56.2% (642)
Away
41.3% (172)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Lammikko
Duchene
P1
38.9%
56.2%
P2
45.3%
56.5%
P3
42.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
42.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |