Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 50.9% vs Duchene 52.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.2%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 83.1%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 54.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Lammikko
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lammikko
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Lammikko
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
1
0
Lammikko
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (616)
46.9% (162)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
73.2% (56)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
100.0% (2)
-62.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lammikko is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Lammikko shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Lammikko
Duchene
Home
49.2% (364)
58.4% (125)
Away
53.0% (330)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Lammikko
Duchene
P1
51.1%
56.9%
P2
52.3%
52.5%
P3
49.8%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |