Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 47.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lammikko 67.3%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 88.0%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 74.1%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Lammikko
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Lammikko
Duchene
Last 10: Lammikko 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
5
Lammikko
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
2
0
Lammikko
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Lammikko
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,252)
53.9% (10,396)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
56.9% (1,665)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (135)
49.1% (468)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lammikko is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Lammikko shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Lammikko
Duchene
Home
48.0% (690)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
47.5% (724)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Lammikko
Duchene
P1
48.7%
54.5%
P2
47.6%
54.5%
P3
46.9%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |