Juho Lammikko vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Lammikko wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 49.5% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 82.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
1
0
Lammikko
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lammikko
1
0
Lammikko
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (108)
50.0% (992)
-0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
64.9% (148)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
34.4% (32)
-34.4%
On power play, Lammikko has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lammikko is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Lammikko shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Home
48.5% (33)
53.3% (591)
Away
49.4% (79)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Lammikko
MacKinnon
P1
59.0%
49.9%
P2
42.5%
53.2%
P3
45.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |