Juho Lammikko vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 46.8%). Look for Lammikko on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lammikko wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 47.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.0%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 64.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.3%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Last 8: Lammikko 4-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lammikko
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
3
2
Lammikko
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lammikko
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,252)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.5%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
53.3% (1,412)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (135)
42.8% (502)
-5.8%
On power play, Lammikko has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lammikko is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (466).
Lammikko shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Home
48.0% (690)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
47.5% (724)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Lammikko
MacKinnon
P1
48.7%
47.4%
P2
47.6%
46.6%
P3
46.9%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |