Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Khaira wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 46.7% vs Hertl 54.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.0%
Defensive zone
Khaira 72.1%
Neutral zone
Khaira 57.3%
Result
Jujhar Khaira favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Khaira
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Khaira
Hertl
Last 10: Khaira 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Khaira
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
2
1
Khaira
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khaira
2
1
Khaira
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (1,154)
53.8% (8,268)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.9% (48)
59.3% (1,975)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (192)
46.3% (806)
-8.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Khaira is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Khaira shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Khaira
Hertl
Home
47.6% (668)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
45.5% (726)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Khaira
Hertl
P1
48.5%
53.6%
P2
44.9%
54.1%
P3
46.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
46.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |