Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.5%). Khaira wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 51.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 68.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 52.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Khaira
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Khaira
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
1
0
Khaira
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (81)
51.6% (1,084)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.0% (246)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
44.1% (136)
-5.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Khaira is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Khaira shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Khaira
Hertl
Home
53.5% (43)
55.2% (696)
Away
51.7% (58)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Khaira
Hertl
P1
48.1%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
60.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
52.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |