Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 48.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.5%
Defensive zone
Khaira 75.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Khaira
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (251)
54.1% (1,117)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.6% (19)
59.8% (296)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (48)
34.4% (32)
+3.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Khaira is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Khaira shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Khaira
Hertl
Home
48.0% (150)
54.3% (709)
Away
48.8% (168)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Khaira
Hertl
P1
51.0%
51.6%
P2
50.9%
53.6%
P3
43.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%