Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Danforth 48.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 65.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 60.8%
Neutral zone
Danforth 57.3%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Lowry
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lowry
Danforth
Last 5: Lowry 5-0 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Danforth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.2% (281)
-1.9%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
55.6% (9)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
35.8% (67)
+6.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Lowry
Danforth
Home
50.2% (671)
52.0% (196)
Away
47.8% (709)
44.1% (161)
By Period
Lowry
Danforth
P1
48.4%
48.2%
P2
50.1%
52.8%
P3
47.8%
42.2%
OT
66.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |