Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.2%). Look for Danforth on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Domi 50.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 78.5%
Defensive zone
Danforth 71.7%
Neutral zone
Danforth 52.2%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Danforth
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Danforth
Domi
Last 8: Danforth 7-1 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
3
1
Danforth
Domi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
3
0
Danforth
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
49.7% (499)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.8% (44)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
0.0% (1)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Danforth shoots right. Domi is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Danforth
Domi
Home
51.1% (315)
51.0% (298)
Away
48.0% (346)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Danforth
Domi
P1
49.5%
54.8%
P2
51.4%
48.9%
P3
46.6%
46.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |