Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Domi 48.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Danforth leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 64.8%
Defensive zone
Danforth 77.2%
Neutral zone
Danforth 55.3%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Danforth
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Danforth
Domi
Last 10: Danforth 9-1 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
4
1
Danforth
Domi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
4
0
Danforth
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
48.1% (4,296)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
53.4% (633)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
48.8% (41)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Home / Away
Danforth
Domi
Home
51.4% (619)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
48.3% (642)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Danforth
Domi
P1
49.1%
48.7%
P2
51.4%
48.3%
P3
48.3%
49.8%
OT
64.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |