Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.2%). Danforth wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 57.2%
Neutral zone
Danforth 53.6%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Danforth
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Danforth
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
50.7% (906)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
48.1% (108)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
44.4% (239)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Danforth is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Danforth shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Danforth
Bjugstad
Home
52.0% (196)
49.8% (643)
Away
44.1% (161)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Danforth
Bjugstad
P1
48.2%
49.4%
P2
52.8%
50.5%
P3
42.2%
47.9%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |