Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Danforth wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 72.0%
Defensive zone
Danforth 61.8%
Neutral zone
Danforth 55.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Danforth
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
46.7% (398)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
51.6% (31)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
62.5% (8)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Danforth shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Danforth
Bjugstad
Home
51.1% (315)
47.3% (220)
Away
48.0% (346)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Danforth
Bjugstad
P1
49.5%
46.1%
P2
51.4%
46.3%
P3
46.6%
50.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%