Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.6%
Defensive zone
Danforth 60.2%
Neutral zone
Danforth 55.4%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Danforth
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Danforth
Foligno
Last 5: Danforth 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
1
Danforth
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
48.7% (495)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.9% (65)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
43.8% (144)
-0.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Danforth shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Danforth
Foligno
Home
51.1% (315)
49.6% (359)
Away
48.0% (346)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Danforth
Foligno
P1
49.5%
46.7%
P2
51.4%
52.7%
P3
46.6%
46.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |