Justin Danforth vs Nick Foligno
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 65.7%
Defensive zone
Danforth 77.5%
Neutral zone
Danforth 56.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Danforth
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Danforth
Foligno
Last 5: Danforth 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
1
Danforth
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
48.3% (2,810)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
52.3% (730)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
44.0% (455)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Danforth
Foligno
Home
51.4% (619)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.3% (642)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Danforth
Foligno
P1
49.1%
47.6%
P2
51.4%
50.4%
P3
48.3%
48.3%
OT
64.3%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |