Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Aho 53.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 62.5%
Defensive zone
Danforth 79.7%
Neutral zone
Danforth 59.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Danforth
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Danforth
Aho
Last 6: Danforth 1-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Danforth
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
51.2% (785)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
63.8% (213)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
57.9% (57)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Danforth shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Danforth
Aho
Home
52.0% (196)
54.9% (548)
Away
44.1% (161)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Danforth
Aho
P1
48.2%
52.8%
P2
52.8%
58.9%
P3
42.2%
50.6%
OT
83.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |