Justin Danforth vs Sebastian Aho

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sebastian Aho holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Danforth 49.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor Aho leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 71.2%
Defensive zone Danforth 80.6%
Neutral zone Danforth 54.4%
Result Sebastian Aho favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Danforth Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 7 (12 meetings)
5
7
Danforth Aho
Last 10: Danforth 4-6 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
7
Danforth Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth Aho
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Danforth
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
50.1% (6,415)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
59.1% (1,297)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
46.0% (446)
-5.9%
On power play, Aho has a +9.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Home / Away
Danforth
Aho
Home
51.4% (619)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
48.3% (642)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Danforth
Aho
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
51.4%
52.1%
P3
48.3%
50.8%
OT
64.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%
51.5%
49.8%
Aho
54.0%
56.5%
51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 23, 2025 3 17:05 Neutral Justin Danforth
Jan 23, 2025 1 19:25 Neutral Justin Danforth
Nov 23, 2024 3 06:27 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 23, 2024 2 10:28 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 23, 2024 1 16:21 Defensive Justin Danforth
Nov 26, 2023 3 15:09 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 26, 2023 3 10:50 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 26, 2023 3 08:06 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 26, 2023 2 14:41 Defensive Justin Danforth
Nov 26, 2023 2 14:26 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 26, 2023 1 16:42 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 12, 2022 3 15:46 Offensive Justin Danforth