Justin Danforth vs Stefan Noesen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Danforth wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Noesen 44.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 91.1%
Defensive zone
Danforth 51.9%
Neutral zone
Noesen 73.4%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Danforth
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Danforth
Noesen
Last 5: Danforth 1-4 Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
0
2
Danforth
Noesen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
0
2
Danforth
Noesen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Noesen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
42.3% (407)
+9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
46.5% (114)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
57.1% (14)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Danforth is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Danforth shoots right. Noesen is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Danforth
Noesen
Home
51.4% (619)
43.8% (267)
Away
48.3% (642)
43.3% (268)
By Period
Danforth
Noesen
P1
49.1%
38.2%
P2
51.4%
45.3%
P3
48.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Stefan Noesen |