Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Danforth wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Noesen 45.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 86.4%
Defensive zone
Danforth 58.6%
Neutral zone
Noesen 64.6%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Danforth
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Danforth
Noesen
Last 5: Danforth 1-4 Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
0
2
Danforth
Noesen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
0
2
Danforth
Noesen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Noesen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
41.1% (95)
+10.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
46.2% (13)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
100.0% (1)
-64.2%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +64.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Danforth is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Danforth shoots right. Noesen is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Danforth
Noesen
Home
52.0% (196)
36.2% (58)
Away
44.1% (161)
49.0% (51)
By Period
Danforth
Noesen
P1
48.2%
35.6%
P2
52.8%
48.3%
P3
42.2%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Stefan Noesen |