Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Danforth wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Noesen 49.2% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 77.1%
Defensive zone
Danforth 77.0%
Neutral zone
Danforth 55.0%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Danforth
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
48.3% (60)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
38.9% (18)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
71.4% (7)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Danforth shoots right. Noesen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Danforth
Noesen
Home
51.1% (315)
57.6% (33)
Away
48.0% (346)
42.3% (52)
By Period
Danforth
Noesen
P1
49.5%
37.9%
P2
51.4%
50.0%
P3
46.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%