Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowling on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.4% vs Dowling 46.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 76.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 58.6%
Neutral zone
Dowling 55.6%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Grant
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Grant
Dowling
Last 6: Grant 1-5 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
1
Grant
Dowling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
4
Grant
Dowling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (480)
43.7% (87)
+8.0%
Power Play
63.0% (54)
50.0% (6)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (160)
33.3% (3)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Grant is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Grant shoots left. Dowling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Grant
Dowling
Home
54.8% (334)
40.0% (55)
Away
48.6% (360)
48.8% (41)
By Period
Grant
Dowling
P1
54.7%
43.9%
P2
46.1%
54.8%
P3
54.2%
29.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |