Justin Dowling vs Mitchell Stephens
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.7% vs Stephens 52.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stephens 54.7%
Neutral zone
Stephens 50.1%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Dowling
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowling
Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Dowling
Stephens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (318)
57.0% (135)
-8.3%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
0.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.0% (54)
+0.0%
On power play, Dowling has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Dowling is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Dowling shoots left. Stephens is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Dowling
Stephens
Home
49.0% (145)
53.9% (89)
Away
47.8% (182)
53.3% (105)
By Period
Dowling
Stephens
P1
48.1%
47.4%
P2
49.1%
57.7%
P3
47.8%
57.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |