Justin Dowling vs Mitchell Stephens
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowling wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Stephens 52.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 71.7%
Defensive zone
Stephens 60.6%
Neutral zone
Dowling 57.9%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Dowling
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dowling
Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
3
Dowling
Stephens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
54.5% (795)
-5.1%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
21.4% (14)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
47.2% (178)
-13.9%
On power play, Dowling has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Dowling is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Dowling shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Dowling
Stephens
Home
48.2% (301)
54.1% (471)
Away
49.2% (392)
51.3% (517)
By Period
Dowling
Stephens
P1
47.6%
53.6%
P2
50.4%
50.7%
P3
48.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |