Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.7% vs Geekie 47.3% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 66.0%
Defensive zone
Dowling 61.8%
Neutral zone
Geekie 53.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Dowling
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (318)
45.7% (352)
+3.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
63.2% (19)
-43.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On power play, Geekie has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Dowling is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Dowling shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Dowling
Geekie
Home
49.0% (145)
48.5% (165)
Away
47.8% (182)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Dowling
Geekie
P1
48.1%
48.5%
P2
49.1%
45.1%
P3
47.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%