Justin Dowling vs Morgan Geekie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dowling wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Geekie 48.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 59.6%
Defensive zone
Geekie 53.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.4%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Dowling
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowling
Geekie
Last 6: Dowling 2-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
4
Dowling
Geekie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
48.8% (2,307)
+0.6%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
45.7% (188)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
45.7% (129)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Dowling is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Dowling shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Dowling
Geekie
Home
48.2% (301)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
49.2% (392)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Dowling
Geekie
P1
47.6%
48.6%
P2
50.4%
48.8%
P3
48.3%
47.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |