Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 50.7% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Dowling 52.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 67.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Dowling
Suzuki
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
50.3% (1,075)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
49.3% (219)
+0.7%
On even strength, Dowling has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowling is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Dowling shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Dowling
Suzuki
Home
41.7% (12)
53.6% (711)
Away
57.1% (28)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Dowling
Suzuki
P1
42.9%
48.5%
P2
60.0%
51.7%
P3
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
72.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%