Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.7% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 59.2%
Defensive zone
Dowling 87.4%
Neutral zone
Dowling 71.7%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Dowling
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dowling
Suzuki
Last 5: Dowling 0-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Dowling
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Dowling
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (318)
52.4% (981)
-3.7%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
50.7% (304)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
36.4% (33)
+13.6%
On power play, Suzuki has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowling is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Dowling shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Dowling
Suzuki
Home
49.0% (145)
53.2% (645)
Away
47.8% (182)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Dowling
Suzuki
P1
48.1%
48.9%
P2
49.1%
51.5%
P3
47.8%
54.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |