Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.7% vs Bennett 46.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 64.2%
Defensive zone
Dowling 61.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 58.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Dowling
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dowling
Bennett
Last 5: Dowling 2-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Dowling
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Dowling
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (318)
46.5% (909)
+2.2%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
43.1% (51)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowling is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Dowling shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Dowling
Bennett
Home
49.0% (145)
45.4% (449)
Away
47.8% (182)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Dowling
Bennett
P1
48.1%
49.6%
P2
49.1%
43.7%
P3
47.8%
45.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |