Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 66.0%
Defensive zone
Dowling 57.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Dowling
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dowling
Bennett
Last 7: Dowling 3-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Dowling
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
0
Dowling
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Dowling
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
46.8% (5,683)
+2.6%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
53.7% (555)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.8% (256)
-8.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Dowling shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Dowling
Bennett
Home
48.2% (301)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
49.2% (392)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Dowling
Bennett
P1
47.6%
48.0%
P2
50.4%
46.5%
P3
48.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |