Scouting Report
Justin Kirkland holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kirkland 50.0% vs Poehling 47.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kirkland 67.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 58.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Kirkland
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kirkland
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kirkland
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kirkland
1
0
Kirkland
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kirkland
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (102)
49.8% (626)
+1.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
38.2% (207)
+9.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kirkland is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Kirkland shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Kirkland
Poehling
Home
50.0% (60)
47.3% (404)
Away
50.0% (66)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Kirkland
Poehling
P1
55.6%
53.5%
P2
44.2%
39.4%
P3
50.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
58.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |