Justin Kirkland vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 48.1%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kirkland wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kirkland 48.2% vs Poehling 48.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kirkland 57.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 52.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Kirkland
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kirkland
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Kirkland
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kirkland
1
0
Kirkland
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kirkland
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
49.4% (2,726)
-0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
51.6% (93)
-51.6%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
41.6% (623)
-2.7%
On power play, Poehling has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kirkland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Kirkland shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Kirkland
Poehling
Home
48.0% (148)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
47.1% (119)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Kirkland
Poehling
P1
55.1%
50.9%
P2
46.0%
47.0%
P3
41.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
47.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |