Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Kapanen wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 45.7% vs Beniers 47.6% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 52.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 67.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 53.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Kapanen
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kapanen
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (32)
47.3% (945)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
23.8% (21)
+9.5%
On even strength, Beniers has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Kapanen is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Kapanen shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Beniers
Home
33.3% (21)
49.6% (565)
Away
35.3% (17)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Kapanen
Beniers
P1
29.4%
48.0%
P2
45.5%
49.0%
P3
30.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▲
39.0%
34.2%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Kasperi Kapanen |